Israel Deadlines: Risk of War in the Middle East?

by Archynetys World Desk

Lebanese political sources confirmed to Sky News Arabia that Lebanon is “committed to the Lebanese army’s plan to restrict weapons,” explaining that the military establishment submits a report in the first week of every month on the progress of implementing the plan.

This coincided with an increase in the level of the Israeli warning, as Channel 14 revealed a Lebanese message stating that work was underway to disarm Hezbollah south of the Litani before the end of the year, while Tel Aviv responded that it would undertake the task itself if the Lebanese authorities failed.

At the same time, Netanyahu escalated his tone towards Gaza, stressing that Israel would disarm Hamas if the international powers did not do so, pointing to a time limit for disarmament without revealing it, and stressing the possibility of returning to fighting on any front if necessary.

Al-Dajani: Netanyahu links his future to keeping the region on fire

Professor of political science at Al-Ummah University in Gaza, Dr. Hussam Al-Dajani, believed that Netanyahu linked his political future to the region remaining hot, explaining that the state of peace is not in his favor, and that he does not want a Palestinian state, citing Netanyahu’s recent statements that there is no Palestinian state west of the Jordan River.

Al-Dajani said that Netanyahu is sending messages to the American administration and the Security Council after the broad international recognition of the Palestinian state, stressing that the Israeli Prime Minister wants everything without offering anything, and that his approach is impossible and may explode the entire Middle East.

He also considered that any talk about disarming the resistance, whether in Gaza or Lebanon, ignores the continued Israeli occupation and violations, adding that the request to disarm the resistance is “illogical in the absence of a real political solution.”

Jaber: Lebanon gave everything it could… and threats do not produce solutions

For his part, the military and strategic expert, Brigadier General Hisham Jaber, described Netanyahu’s threats as an impossible equation, saying: The Israeli Prime Minister continues to be in a state of war… If the war stops, the government will fall, and the judiciary will move internally and externally.

Jaber pointed out that Lebanon gave everything it could, pointing out that the Lebanese army cannot disarm Hezbollah by force because it would plunge the country into a civil war.

He revealed that a report they received indicated that 337 people were killed and 642 injured in Lebanon within a year, while the Israeli side was not harmed to the same extent, considering this a clear injustice.

He explained that Lebanon is committed to international resolutions and the ceasefire, but implementing disarmament requires a timetable and internal understandings, not threats, stressing that forceful intervention will lead to the dismantling of the Lebanese army and comprehensive chaos.

Elad: International patience has limits, and the possibility of renewed fighting exists

As for the lecturer at the Western Galilee Academy, Moshe Elad, he saw that there are common lines between the Lebanese and Gaza files, saying that the American mediators “feel despair” over the Lebanese laxity in the file of disarming Hezbollah.

He stated that the United States promised Lebanon huge aid and budgets, including approximately $14 billion for reconstruction, warning that patience may run out if the trio, Joseph Aoun, Nawaf Salam, and Nabih Berri, do not provide solutions before the end of the year, and that the withdrawal of the mediators will increase the chances of renewed fighting with Israel.

He also pointed out that the Lebanese government fears violence and civil war, and therefore hesitates in direct confrontation, adding that the Lebanese should blame themselves, not others.

Does the policy of deadlines lead to war?

With Netanyahu repeating the threats and confirming the possibility of returning to fighting in Gaza and Lebanon, questions are raised about the feasibility of the “delay policy” that establishes an equation that pressures all parties.

Al-Dajani stressed that “the issue has become very complex and requires binding international intervention under Chapter Seven to establish real peace and a fully sovereign Palestinian state.”

As for Jaber, he warned that “military pressure will lead to disastrous results,” while Elad believes that “the continuation of Lebanese hesitation may push Israel to a military decision.”

Between the mutual deadlines and escalating threats, the question remains open: Is the region approaching a settlement…or a new round of war?

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