The citizens of Castilla y León will go to the polls on March 15in elections that are presented as decisive for the political future of the community. For him People’s Partythis is the second attempt to get closer to the absolute majority and reduce its dependence on Vox, after the first failed attempt that led to the early 2022 elections.
He rise of Vox in the regional elections of Aragon on February 8, where it doubled its representation and consolidated itself as a third force, also adds a context of national attention on the influence of the formation, which could also mark the dynamics in Castilla y León.
The candidates of Castilla y León
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Alfonso Fernández Mañueco (PP) has managed to exhaust the legislature despite the difficulties that arose as a result of the break with Vox and not being able to approve budgets in 2025 or 2026, y appears again. For their part, the socialists present themselves with Carlos Martínez, mayor of Soria since 2007, and those of Vox, with the president of the Cortes of Castilla y León, Carlos Pollan.
Who is going to win the elections in Castilla y León
The average of the published surveys gives Alfonso Fernández Mañueco an advantage of at least two points over the PSOE. However, according to the polls, those of the PP would obtain the 29.6% of the votes and the socialists would stay with the 27.5% of the votes. Vox, for its part, would obtain 20% of the ballots, a record number for Abascal’s team.
In the case of other political parties such as Podemos, UPL, Ciudadanos, Soria Ya and Por Ávila, Surveys show figures between 5 and 1%. The trend is clear: a hegemony of the right is expected, with a PP and a Vox that will reach 48 of the 82 seats available in the Courts.
Who do you think will win in the Castilla y León elections?
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How many seats would each formation have?
The percentages, translated into seats, are equivalent to an increase of a seat for the Popular Party, which would become 32 seats (ten from the absolute majority, established in 42 deputies), and a drop of three seats for the socialists, who would go from 28 seats to 26. Regarding Vox, the formation would enjoy a key increase, between 14 and 16 parliamentarians.
According to SyM Consulting, this number would be enough to get a new attorney in each province, except in Ávila and Burgos.
