Avalanche’s Struggles Post-4 Nations Face-Off Break: A Deep Dive
The Post-Break Reset: A Missed Opportunity
Coming out of the 4 Nations Face-Off break, the Colorado Avalanche hoped for a two-week reset to benefit several struggling players. Specifically, the eight forwards not named Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen, Martin Necas, and Jonathan Drouin were expected to find their form. Unfortunately, this hasn’t been the case. The game plan to beat the Avalanche remains simple: shut down the top line, and you’ll likely only need two goals to win—if not one.
A Disappointing Return
The Avalanche came out of the break with a 4-1-0 record in their last five games. They faced the 30th-place Nashville Predators and a mediocre St. Louis Blues team, both on the outside of the playoff picture. The Avalanche had an opportunity to win two easy games and head home feeling confident ahead of a six-game homestand and the upcoming trade deadline. Instead, they lost 2-1 in Nashville and 3-1 in St. Louis. In both games, Colorado scored first, but each time, the opposition got back in it, scored once, then added another, and held onto the lead the rest of the way.
Forwards’ Performance: A Cause for Concern
The eight forwards combined for one assist in two games—a secondary helper from Juuso Parssinen on the Sam Malinski goal against the Preds. Cale Makar, speaking to reporters following Sunday’s loss, emphasized the need for the team to prove themselves to management. "I think every single guy on this team, we gotta prove to management that this should be a group that they invest in," Makar said. "If we keep having games like this, it’s going to be hard for them to justify it."
The Nichushkin Factor
It’s been 20 games since the Avalanche’s season-high six-game winning streak came to an end on January 4 against the Montreal Canadiens. This was two nights after Colorado made its second miraculous comeback of the season against Buffalo. The vibes were immaculate back then, but not so much anymore.
The Avalanche are 9-9-2 since that Sabres game—all of which were played without Valeri Nichushkin. It’s well-documented that Colorado’s record with Nichushkin is miles ahead of how they look without him. Both his physical and personal issues have made it hard to rely on him. Having him back in the lineup, perhaps as early as Tuesday, would be a massive boost. There’s no denying that. But is it enough?
Depth Forward Production: A Glimpse into the Numbers
| Player | Goals | Assists | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mittelstadt | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Juuso Parssinen | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Logan O’Connor | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Parker Kelly | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Ross Colton | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Drury | 2 | 0 | 2 |
The Need for a Trade Deadline Miracle
MacKinnon has done all he can to carry this team. He still leads the league in points, but 23 points in 20 games is low for his standard. He’s being asked to do too much—more than in years past. Drouin has 15 points in 19 games, and Lehkonen has 14 points (nine goals) in 20 games. Necas has nine in 10 games, replacing Mikko Rantanen, who had eight in his last 10 games. Even Rantanen had a bit of burnout before he was dealt. He, too, was being asked to carry a bigger load than usual.
Can all of this be solved before the trade deadline? Maybe. But it would require multiple trades and a lot of gutsy moves to find the right mix of forwards to get consistent depth scoring. It’s not that every one of them needs to be shipped out of town. It’s that whoever comes in needs to fit into the mix and find instant chemistry. There are only four games left before the trade deadline and just 19 remaining after that before the playoffs begin. Basically, there isn’t a lot of time to figure it all out.
The Front Office Dilemma
At some point, the front office needs to come to terms with the fact that perhaps this isn’t the year to sell off assets to go for the Stanley Cup. Before general manager Chris MacFarland quickly remade his goaltending tandem, he didn’t quite have a strong track record when maneuvering in desperation. Maybe the goalie trades can be replicated to fix this issue. If not, the 2024-25 Avs are doomed. Especially when you consider that the defense needs help, too.
Is This Avalanche Season Worth Saving?
So I ask: Is this Avalanche season worth saving?
FAQ Section
What is the current state of the Avalanche’s offense?
The Avalanche’s offense has struggled significantly, with many forwards producing very little. The top line has been carrying the team, but even they have shown signs of fatigue.
How has Valeri Nichushkin’s absence affected the team?
Nichushkin’s absence has been a significant factor in the Avalanche’s struggles. His return could provide a much-needed boost, but it remains to be seen if it will be enough.
What are the options for the Avalanche before the trade deadline?
The Avalanche have a few options, including making multiple trades to find the right mix of forwards. However, with only four games left before the deadline, time is running out.
Can the Avalanche still make the playoffs?
While it’s still possible, the Avalanche need to make significant improvements quickly. The trade deadline and the remaining games will be crucial in determining their fate.
Did You Know?
The Avalanche’s top line, consisting of Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen, and Martin Necas, has been the team’s most consistent offensive unit. However, the depth forwards have struggled to contribute, leading to a significant drop in overall scoring.
Pro Tips
For Avalanche Fans
Stay engaged and supportive. The team needs your energy and encouragement more than ever. Attend games, wear your jerseys, and show your support on social media.
For Avalanche Management
Consider making bold moves at the trade deadline. The team needs fresh faces and new chemistry to turn things around. Don’t be afraid to take risks and make the necessary changes.
For Avalanche Players
Focus on teamwork and consistency. Individual efforts are important, but it’s the collective effort that will win games. Stay positive and support each other through the tough times.
Call to Action
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