$760B MFB Revenue Forecast – 2026

The Minister of Finance and Budget, Cheikh Diba, faces deputies this Saturday for the examination of the Initial Finance Bill 2026. On the question of the budgetary consolidation strategy, the minister recalled that this is the Government’s commitment, after noting a deficit in 2024 of around 12.8%, to reduce the budget deficit to 7.8% in 2025, to 5.37% in 2026 and to 3% in 2027. In this sense, he believes that the problem of mobilizing PRES resources could be integrated into this budgetary consolidation strategy. Regarding the Economic and Social Recovery Plan (PRES), he indicated that “the expectations for the year 2026 are very high since they are at more than 760 billion FCFA. »
These revenues will come, among other things, from games of chance, land regularization, taxation of mobile money, alcohol and tobacco. These reforms, although important, are based on minimalist hypotheses, he will specify. In reality, studies led by the Prime Minister’s Office revealed a forecast of more than 900 billion FCFA, and it was only as a precaution that the amount of 760 billion FCFA was retained.
Furthermore, considers the minister, as part of the budgetary consolidation strategy, “the option chosen for 2026 is to freeze the portion of revenue deemed optimistic so that user services cannot execute the expenditure until the resource is mobilized. »