SV Werder Bremen lost six of the ten Bundesliga duels with 1. FC Union Berlin and thus 60 percent of all meetings. The Green-Whites have an even higher defeat rate against only one other club from the upper echelon of German football, namely against RB Leipzig (62.5 percent). Therefore, for Werder Bremen against Union Berlin, it must be taken into account in the tip that a fearful opponent from Werder comes to the Weserwhich has to be beaten first.
Get the Turbo odds for Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin at Oddset and get odds of 20.00 for the Bremen victory
Table of Contents
- Get the Turbo odds for Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin at Oddset and get odds of 20.00 for the Bremen victory
- Table of contents
- Werder Bremen – Union Berlin Odds | 3 top tips
- Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin prediction AI
- Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form
- Union Berlin – Statistics & Current Form
- Werder Bremen – Union Berlin Direct comparison / H2H balance
- Betting base forecast & Werder Bremen – Union Berlin Tipp
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Table of contents
The SVW is encouraged not only by the fact that they recently had two league games in a row without defeat (one win, one draw), but also by the fact that Only lost one of the last seven Bundesliga home games across the season (three wins, three draws). Nevertheless, the Green-Whites’ home win prediction for Werder Bremen against Union Berlin is not our first choice, as the Köpenick team got off to a solid start with ten out of 21 possible points and also recorded a 4-3 away win against Champions League participants Eintracht Frankfurt. We therefore recommend that over 2.5 goals will be scored in the Weserstadion.
Werder Bremen – Union Berlin Odds | 3 top tips
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What is striking is that the Iron Men, who always stood for tough defensive football and lots of clean sheets in their first years in the Bundesliga, came last remarkably vulnerable to conceding goals were. There have already been eight goals conceded in the three Bundesliga away games, two of which were lost (one win). Only Bremen itself and Frankfurt (ten each) conceded more goals in the distance.
In addition to the somewhat risky bet on Werder’s home win, you could bet on Werder Bremen against Union Berlin at odds of 1.93 using the practical Bet-at-home app that SVW will score over 1.5 home goals. If you are interested in more betting tips for the 8th matchday of the Bundesliga, you will find what you are looking for in the linked matchday overview.
Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin prediction AI
Here and there the AI strongly contradicts us. In this case, however, supercomputer BETSiE is also of the opinion that the Weserelf value can be found in the tip for the home win. Quotes of 2.15 are available in the Bet365 app, which implies a Bremen chance of winning of 46.5 percent. However, the Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin AI forecast even gives the Green-Whites a 49.5 percent chance of winning, which creates a positive expected value.
AI prediction Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin:
Win Werder Bremen 2:15
Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form
Werder Bremen goes into the duel with an ambivalent history: only three of the ten Bundesliga games against Köpenick were won. However, two of these successes were celebrated in the last two home duels. The 4-1 win at the end of December 2024 was also Union’s last Bundesliga game under Bo Svensson. Since then, the Weserelf have not scored as many goals in any of the following 13 Bundesliga home games.
Nevertheless, the Green-Whites’ home form is good. There has only been one defeat in the last seven Bundesliga home games across the season (three wins, three draws). After the 1-0 win against St. Pauli, a second home three in a row awaits for the first time this season. Something that only happened once in the entire preseason.
Werder Bremen needs to improve significantly defensively
The Achilles heel of Horst Steffen’s team remains security: 16 goals conceded prove that SVW has the second weakest defense in the league. In addition, there is the league’s highest number of opposing shots on goal (44). Explosive for the matchup: Union has already scored 15 times from set pieces in the 2025 calendar year, while Werder conceded 16 set pieces goals in the same period. This also fuels our tip at over 2.5 goals for Werder Bremen against Union Berlin.
However, there are individual anchor points: Marco Grüll recently ended his dry spell and scored his first Bundesliga brace in the last home duel against the Eisernen (4:1). Jens Stage only scored away in 2025, but his last home goal on the Weser also came against Union (4:1).
Werder Bremen
Horst Steffen
4-3-3
Expected lineup
Werder Bremen
Horst Steffen
4-3-3
Expected lineup
GOALS 5
ASSISTS13
| 4Niklas Stark |
| 9Keke Top |
| 10Leonardo Bittencourt |
| 11Justin Njinmah |
| 13Karl Hein |
| 22Julian Malatini |
| 24Patrice Covic |
| 28Skelly Alvero |
| 44Victor Boniface |
Injuries and suspensions
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin – Statistics & Current Form
Overall, Union Berlin got off to a pretty good start and secured ten out of 21 possible points at the start of the 2025/26 season, which puts the capital city team in ninth place in the table. Nevertheless, the odds now speak against the Iron Men in Werder Bremen against Union Berlin. At LeoVegas, where new customers can claim a classic 100% bonus of up to €100 with the LeoVegas Bonus, quotes of 3.40 are available for Köpenicker’s away win.
The changeable away form of Steffen Baumgart’s team is certainly responsible for this. There were two defeats in the first three away games and eight goals conceded. This certifies that the FCU has the third weakest away defense behind Eintracht Frankfurt and today’s hosts Werder Bremen (ten each).
Union Berlin impresses with dead balls
But the capital city team also has a clear bargaining chip, namely standard situations. The Berliners scored 15 of their 33 Bundesliga goals in 2025 after dead balls (45 percent – highest in the league). Danilho Doekhi underlines the air sovereignty: he scored nine of his ten Bundesliga goals with his head. Since August 2022, no defender in Europe’s top five leagues has scored more headers (Arsenal’s Gabriel also scored nine). In addition, Doekhi won 72 percent of his duels – tied for the league record with Werder’s Marco Friedl (at least 30 duels each).
The downside: The Iron Men have largely lost the compactness with which they shook up the Bundesliga after their promotion and allowed the second most shots on goal in the league (41). This is exactly where the lever on the Weser must now be applied. Otherwise there is a risk of the next poor away game.
Union Berlin
Steffen Baumgart
3-4-3
Expected lineup
Union Berlin
Steffen Baumgart
3-4-3
Expected lineup
GOALS 5
ASSISTS13
| 7Oliver Burke |
| 11Woo-Yeong Jeong |
| 15Tom Rothe |
| 19Janik Haberer |
| 27Marin Ljubicic |
| 30Dmytro Bogdanov |
| 31Matheo Raab |
| 33Alex Kral |
| 34Stanley n’soon |
Injuries and suspensions
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen – Union Berlin Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 4 – 1 – 6
There have been eleven competitive games between the two teams so far, which first met in the DFB Cup in 2009, when SV Werder Bremen celebrated a brilliant 5-0 away win against the then lower-class 1. FC Union Berlin. Since then, the balance has clearly shifted towards the Iron Men, who won six of the ten Bundesliga duels against the Green-Whites (one draw, three defeats). Only against RB Leipzig does the Weserelf have an even higher defeat rate in the Bundesliga (62.5 percent) than against FCU (60 percent).
Statistics highlights for Werder Bremen against Union Berlin
Betting base forecast & Werder Bremen – Union Berlin Tipp
Basically, we think the Weserelf’s home win prediction for Werder Bremen against Union Berlin is playable, although the record clearly speaks in favor of the Iron Men. The SVW was recently difficult to beat in the Weserstadion, which is why only one defeat from the last seven Bundesliga home games (three wins, three draws). However, the guests from the capital pose a lot of danger, especially when it comes to set pieces, which means they are always capable of striking out of nowhere.
Opta-Facts – Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin Tipp
- Werder Bremen have only won 3 of the 10 BL games against Werder Bremen (1D, 6L)
- Union Berlin lost 2 of the 3 BL away games and conceded 8 goals
- Werder Bremen have only lost 1 of their last 7 BL home games (W3 D3)
In addition, both teams are very vulnerable defensively. Eintracht Frankfurt is currently the Bundesliga’s shooting gallery across the league. However, if the opponent’s shots are allowed on goal, the two bottom teams meet here. The Eisernen have already allowed 41 opponents to score, SVW even 44. This clearly suggests that one or two goals will be scored in this match.
We therefore recommend the tip on over 2.5 goals, for which betting odds of 1.71 are offered for Werder Bremen against Union Berlin, which we use at ODDSET with four out of ten units. We have now worked out the reasons for placing football bets with this Munich betting provider in the linked ODDSET test report.
Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin – best odds in the Bundesliga
Werder Bremen Union Berlin
October 24, 2025, 6:09 p.m
