Ukraine War: Why a Peace Deal Before Ceasefire Won’t Work

by Archynetys News Desk

Expert Assesses Trump-Putin Summit and Ukraine‘s future

By Amelia Davidson | WASHINGTON – 2025/08/18 09:49:23

A veteran diplomat provides insights into the recent summit between President Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, and the implications for Ukraine and international relations.


The summit meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin in Anchorage, Alaska, on August 15, 2025, has left many observers puzzled regarding its aims, execution, and outcomes.

The meeting deviated from established diplomatic norms, characterized by its last-minute planning, apparent disregard for protocol, and conflicting reports following its abrupt conclusion.

To clarify the events and potential future developments, Amelia Davidson interviewed Donald Heflin, a seasoned diplomat and current instructor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School.

Summit’s Abrupt Conclusion and Unclear Objectives

Donald Heflin expressed that the absence of concrete results from the summit was not surprising to experienced diplomats.

Heflin noted that neither russia nor Ukraine had requested to participate in peace talks, suggesting that neither party was prepared for negotiations. Additionally, the process was flawed due to inadequate readiness at both the secretary of state and staff levels.

Leading up to the summit, the White House had signaled realistic expectations, suggesting a potential ceasefire followed by a second set of talks. Though, this plan did not materialize, and the reasons remain unclear.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer,here embracing Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy in London on aug. 14, 2025, is one of many European leaders voicing strong support for Ukraine and Zelenskyy.
Jordan Pettitt/PA Images via Getty Images

According to Heflin, Russia was not prepared to agree to a ceasefire and instead advocated for immediate permanent peace talks.

“No ceasefire. We want to go straight to permanent peace talks.”

Ukraine and Allies Reject Immediate Peace Talks

Ukraine and its European allies oppose immediate peace talks as a ceasefire typically leaves warring parties in control of the territory they currently hold. In contrast, a permanent peace plan necessitates decisions about troop withdrawals.

Furthermore, Vladimir Putin has insisted on retaining some of the territory seized by Russian troops in 2014 and 2022, which is unacceptable to Ukraine.

It remains uncertain whether Putin’s demand to keep Ukrainian territory represents a non-negotiable condition or a tactic to undermine peace talks.

Russia has asserted its desire to retain parts of Ukraine based on past and ethnic considerations.

Though, the international community has long maintained that territorial gains thru invasion are unacceptable.

Heflin referenced the first Gulf War, during which Saddam Hussein’s invasion and annexation of Kuwait were met with international intervention to restore Kuwait’s sovereignty. He also noted instances where the U.S. and Europe have cautioned countries against such actions.

Allowing Russia to retain territory seized from Ukraine would set a perilous precedent, potentially encouraging similar actions by other countries.

The world is closely observing the situation, notably considering the security guarantees provided to Ukraine by the U.S. in 1994, when Ukraine relinquished its nuclear weapons. The U.S.’s commitment to Ukraine is crucial for maintaining its credibility as a reliable partner.

The U.S.is also engaged in a multifaceted confrontation with China. Failing to support ukraine could send a discouraging message to Taiwan, suggesting that the U.S. may not defend them against Chinese aggression.

Police dressed in combat gear help an old woman across rubble left after a bombing.

Ukrainian police officers evacuate a resident from a residential building in Bilozerske following an airstrike by Russian invading forces on Aug. 17, 2025.
Pierre Crom/Getty Images

European Leaders’ Intervention

The upcoming visit of at least six European leaders, along with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, to Washington, D.C., signifies a united front against Russia’s actions. these leaders aim to convey the message that territorial annexation through invasion is unacceptable in Europe.

President Trump’s prior conversations with these leaders likely gave them the impression that the U.S. was considering a ceasefire. However, Trump ultimately adopted Putin’s stance of pursuing immediate peace talks without a ceasefire.

European leaders are expected to advocate for a ceasefire as a prerequisite for negotiations, emphasizing that allowing Russia to retain seized territory would set a dangerous precedent. They fear that Russia might then target the Baltic states – Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania – potentially destabilizing the established European order.

Future Trajectory of the conflict

The conflict will likely persist until a ceasefire is established. The key indicator following the upcoming meetings will be whether Trump maintains his position of seeking a thorough peace agreement with territorial concessions or shifts towards the European view of prioritizing a ceasefire.

Even critics of Trump acknowledge his aversion to war, viewing it as chaotic and unpredictable.His primary objective is to halt the violence.

Achieving a ceasefire requires both parties to agree to suspend hostilities for a specified period while negotiations proceed.

The absence of such an agreement following the meetings would indicate a lack of progress.

The Plight of Ukrainian Children

The abduction of thousands of Ukrainian children by russia is a grave concern that shoudl be addressed in negotiations. This act of terror could be a point of progress.

If Putin were to agree to return the children, it could demonstrate a willingness to engage in meaningful dialog.

Though, the likelihood of such an outcome remains uncertain, underscoring the tragic nature of the situation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main goals of Russia in the conflict with Ukraine?
Russia aims to retain control over certain territories, protect Russian-speaking populations, and prevent Ukraine from joining NATO.
What is the role of the united States in the conflict?
The U.S. has provided financial and military aid to Ukraine, imposed sanctions on Russia, and worked with allies to condemn Russian aggression.
What are the potential outcomes of the conflict?
Potential outcomes range from a negotiated settlement with territorial concessions to a prolonged conflict with continued instability.
How has the conflict impacted the global economy?
The conflict has disrupted supply chains, increased energy prices, and contributed to global inflation.
What is the Budapest Memorandum?
The Budapest Memorandum is a political agreement signed in 1994, in which Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons in exchange for security assurances from the U.S., Russia, and the UK.

About the Author: Amelia davidson is a seasoned journalist covering international affairs and political analysis.




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