Trump H1-B Visa Costs: US vs India Impact

The H-1B visa program still faces a mysterious fate.

In light of these amendments, the American dream door that millions of Indians dream closed, after it remained open to three decades, during which he extended the American industries with many Indian minds and talents.

The truth is that these visas have reported both countries; For the Indians, it was a way to achieve ambition among the people of the villages and the small cities who found their way to upgrade the middle class after they became salaries in dollars.

As for the United States, these visas mean supplying laboratories, studying the study, hospitals, and startups with new minds of Indian talents.

Today, figures of Indian origins are managing giant companies such as Google, Microsoft and IBM, and Indian doctors also represent about six percent of the medical workforce in the United States.

The Indians acquire the lion’s share of the H-1B visas, by more than 70 percent over the past years. (While the Chinese came second among the beneficiaries of these visas, with a rate of approximately 12 percent).

However, the presence of Indians in the world of technologies was more powerful; Statistics dating back to 2015 showed that more than 80 percent of the functions in the field of computers is obtained by Indians – and a source of view confirms that this percentage has not changed.

In the medical sector, more than 8,200 Indians obtained “H-1B” visas, to work in the field of general medicine and surgery hospitals. India is the largest exporter for international doctors, at about 22 percent.

Experts believe that Trump’s executive decision increases the cost of visas to $ 100,000 is an unprecedented decision; In 2023, the average wages for the new H-1B visa was $ 94,000, compared to about $ 129,000 average wages of their feet.

Since the decision targets the new arrivals, most of these will not be able to fulfill the value of the fees even if it pays everything they receive, according to the experts.

“Since the new executive decision will apply it to the new H-1B visa alone, this is often capable of causing a shortage of employment within the United States in the medium and long term, not in the short term.”

India may be affected by the consequences of the decision before the United States, but the latter will bear the deeper impact, according to analysts.

According to this day, an Indian institutions have prepared a giant contract for contracts, such as TCS and Infosis, by launching local workforce forces and by directing their contractors inside.

In numbers, according to the Pew Center for Studies, the Indians represent about 70 percent of the H-1B visa bearing, but only three of the top ten among the employers of the business of these Indians have ties with India in 2023, compared to six out of ten in 2016.

The Information Technology Sector in India, whose market value is estimated at about 283 billion dollars, is facing a major challenge – in light of its reliance on sending skilled workers to the United States, which generates more than half of its revenues.

The Indian Information Technology Industry Authority “Naskom” believes that the increase in the cost of the H-1B visa may “disrupt the continuation of work in specific local projects.”

It is expected that customers will resort to re -pricing or to postpone projects, pending some of the legal obligations that surround this new decision, while companies may resort to rethinking employment forms – and turning into external work, and reducing local roles.

It is also expected that Indian companies will download their American customers with these emergency increases on the visa price, according to Aditya Narayan Misrea, from the pioneering company in the field of recruitment.

Aditya says: “In light of business owners’ reluctance to adhere to the huge costs of the guarantee, we may witness a greater demand for a distance contract, to external operating centers and to temporary contracts,” Aditya says.

Meanwhile, the broader effect on the United States is likely to be more severe. Hospitals will witness a shortage of doctors, and universities will find it difficult to attract students of science, technology, engineering and mathematics, and startups will suffer strongly due to the absence of senior employees in technology poles such as Google and Amazon.

“The significant increase in the cost of” H-1B “visas will have to make a fundamental change in their employment policies, and these companies will prohibit the recruitment of founders and executives to manage companies within the United States,” David J. Bear, Director of Immigration Studies at the Kato Institute, told the BBC.

David Bear believes that this would “hit an devastating blow to innovation and competitiveness in the United States.”

Other experts expressed concern about this matter. Among them is the generation of Ghwera, an immigration policy analyst at the Nissanin Center, who expected that the demand for new workers will witness in the areas of technology and medicine in the United States.

“Given the degree of specialization that surrounds these areas and its seriousness, the shortage of the numbers of workers in it even if it does not last for many years is enough to have a serious impact on the economy of the United States and the national welfare.”

“Moreover, skilled Indian workers may look at the destinations other than the United States for international study, with the consequences of this serial consequences on the American university system,” according to Ghwera.

In fact, Indian students will be more affected, as they represent a quarter of the number of international students in the United States.

The timing of the issuance of the executive decision on increasing the cost of the H-1B visa-which comes after joining records in September-left many new arrivals in a state of amazement.

“I felt like a direct attack, because the drawings were already dominated, so there are great expenses that cannot be recovered, and here it has blocked the most profitable way to enter the American labor force.”

Kochik expects that this executive decision will have an impact on the share of American universities next year; Most Indian students prefer the country they can reside. “

So far, the full consequences of the decision to increase the cost of the H-1B visa are still not yet known, and lawyers specializing in immigration cases will expect that Trump’s executive decision will face urgent legal challenges.

Ghwera generation, from the Nissanin Center, warns that the H-1B visa policy may have a number of negative effects on the United States, that it may take time until these effects appear.

“It is possible that companies, such as Amazon, Apple, Google and Mita, will find a way to exempt the H-1B fee policy, and if all of these companies are exempt-a major H-1B ‘visa user, this represents a blow in the core of the purpose of the fees.”

As soon as the storm calms down and the dust falls, it turns out that the decision of the H-1B visa appears to be a test of American companies and the American economy to bear more than a tax on foreign workers; This is because the H-1B visa and their families are contributing about 86 billion dollars annually in the US economy, including $ 24 billion in salaries on salaries, and $ 11 billion in government and local dollars.

It remains to stand on the way companies will respond, to determine whether the United States will continue to lead innovation and talents – or will it give up that leadership of other countries more welcoming.