There is no consensus in the “blitz” of the Moscow Kremlin regarding the main war criminal, Russian President Vladimir Putin – there is division and division. When asked if there are any such signs, Igors Rajevs, a member of the Saeima (not belonging to factions), military expert and retired colonel of the National Armed Forces, answered “Nra.lv TV” that it is talked about all the time, but he has two possible scenarios when it could happen.
“If we look at the history of Russia, the tsars, there were coups all the time. But the vertical of Russian power has also successfully suppressed such actions. Recently, news appeared that Lavrov disappeared, but he came back, swore allegiance, and nothing has changed for him,” said I. Rajev.
He admitted that there are several groups in Russia that are not satisfied with Putin’s actions – they are losing business, losing financially, losing opportunities and possibly also losing power, but the question is how big is their capacity to really change this situation. We are hearing such talk now, just as we have been hearing about Putin’s doubles, illness and instant death for some ten years. Unfortunately, things stay where they are.
I. Rajev admitted that Russia has very strong security challenges within its country. Their special services work all the time in an enhanced mode, and if even the army is not paid as much as promised, then the special services will be paid as much as promised, and the resources for their operation will always be available to Russia. Therefore, it is hardly necessary to talk about conspiracies and divisions against Putin.
According to him, such conspiracies could be initiated by only two things – if Russia runs out of personnel and needs to carry out a large mobilization, then it will be an extremely unpopular thing that can upset Putin’s regime. The second thing is if what happened to the Soviet Union in the 1990s happens – the standard of living dropped significantly, you couldn’t buy anything in the shops anymore, and people didn’t have the money to buy, I. Rajevs believes.
Putin, who is an experienced politician with a sufficient “background” and the ability to manipulate and suppress those who could cause disturbances, has taken care of the other possible scenarios, so the military expert does not see any other reasons for the change of power in Russia for the time being. I. Rajev thinks that Putin will stay in power because he is a sufficiently polished politician and a very successful manipulator.
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