Russia received support in the Ukraine War-for example from China. In the future, Putin could also steer ex-Soviet countries against NATO.
Moscow-While the world looks tense at the escalating conflict in the Middle East, the fear of a war between NATO adn the OVKS alliance of former Soviet states does not remove. The most important question: Would Vladimir Putin attack NATO?
A report by the Menapfabrik Institute for the Study of War (ISW) based in the USA now indicates that the Kremlin is working intensively on strengthening its troops and the Russian military and Russian society prepares for a possible future war with NATO in the medium to long-term.
Putin uses his former Soviet brothers in the Ukraine War
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According to ISW, which offers research and analyzes on questions of defense and foreign policy, Putin wants to control the combat capacities of its allies in the organization of the contract for collective security (OVKS). The OVKS is a military alliance between the former member states of the Soviet Union: Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.According to the US thinking factory, Russia is working on the subordination of the armed forces of the Russian allies under a Russian military command.
The Russian State Duma thus ratified a protocol on June 24, which allows the OVKS countries to send troops to the territory of other OVS countries in the event of armed conflicts, threats, crisis situations and exercises, to respond to the consequences of emergencies and to provide humanitarian aid.
Vladimir putin’s army has support from ex-Soviet states, China and North Korea
The protocol now allows the OVKS to transport troops a day after a decision by the OVKS Council-in contrast to the previously provided 30 days. The protocol also introduces the concept of a “formation command”, which will command the OVKS armed forces sent to an OVKS state. This “formation command” is expected to be a command dominated by Russia.
The OVKS Council for Collective Security said goodbye to the minutes in November 2024. ISW has long assumed that the Kremlin is trying to subordinate the armed forces of former Soviet states to the Russian armed forces in order to build up a multinational army in the former Soviet area. In the event of Western assessments of the future fighting power of Russia, not only the Russian armed forces, but also the forces of his OVKS allies, who could use Russia in future operations.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte sees russia currently the largest and most direct threat to Allianz, as he repeatedly explained on June 24th at the NATO summit in Den Haag. In particular, the support from North Korea, China, Iran and Belarus helps Vladimir Putin to military strength.
In Belarus, Putin found an important ally with Lukaschenko
Belarusian ruler Alexander Lukaschenko is one of the loyal supporters Putin. Even if Lukaschenko always gives signals that he would like to relax the relationship with the West, the ex-Soviet states work militarily closely together. The last Russian-Belarussian military maneuver SAPAD-2025 took place at the end of May.
Russia and Belarus used 200,000 soldiers at SAPAD-2021; In retrospect for the planning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the departure of the troop was also very precisely observed by NATO and the direct residents Poland and Lithuania. (lm)
