Published March 12, 2026 12:21AM
Tadej Pogačar and his Strade Bianche demolition left the peloton scattered across the Tuscan gravel and searching for answers.
For anyone who dared to dream that the gap might narrow coming into 2026Pogačar vaporized them with an 80-kilometer nuclear raid that turned one of cycling’s hardest classics into his latest solo project.
Inside the peloton, the chatter around Pogačar has now permanently shifted.
No one even speaks about how to beat him.
All that’s left now is waiting for the day he beats himself.
That’s the brutal paradigm in today’s otherwise glittering Cake era.
Teams can crunch the data, dissect the power files, and now even experiment with AI-driven tactical analysis.
Yet the song remains the same.
On most terrain, in most races, and nearly every day he toes up to the line, Pogačar is simply unbeatable.
In the depths of last year’s Pog-pulverization at the Tour de France, the refrain around the team buses was almost universal.
All we can do is hope that Pogačar has a bad day.
Hopes and prayers
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That’s hardly inspirational bike racing, but it’s the hard truth.
I was asked recently on the Velo podcast what I would do if I were a sport director trying to beat him.
The honest answer? I didn’t really have one.
Because no one does.
It’s the same query I’ve been posing to managers and sports directors for years.
On paper, the formula sounds simple enough: outperform him physically, isolate him tactically, and pounce at the moment he finally cracks.
But away from the sound bites, none of those factors looks to be lining up soon.
Or at least they haven’t since 2023.
Of course, no one wants to admit defeat before the flag even drops. It’s something that cannot be said out loud.
Since his rise, only two riders have consistently managed to beat Pogačar head-to-head.
Mathieu van der Poelon a handful of specific days when the bergs of Belgium tilt in favor of his brute power and explosive punch.
And Jonas Vingegaardwhose Tour de France victories in 2022 and 2023 came when everything did align perfectly, and Pogačar did have bad days.
Since then, it’s been Poga-geddon for 24 months and counting.
Only 3 days a year

Cycling has seen this movie before.
The Merckx years carried the same fatalism. The Induráin era revolved around waiting to be humiliated in the time trials.
The now-maligned Armstrong era and later Team Sky’s grand tour reign produced a similar dread of grand tour annihilation.
When dominance reaches that soul-crushing level, the sense of collective futility produces a strange kind of psychological playback loop.
Riders and teams line up knowing that winning is not a realistic option, so the game is already largely lost.
What makes the Pogačar era so different is how few races even offer the remote possibility of victory when he is at the start line.
At least Chris Froome was never chasing the monuments.
Across the calendar, there are only a handful of places where there’s even a tinge of hope among his rivals. Milan-San Remo’s toboggan run down the Poggio, the cobbled brutality of Flanders, and the chaos of Paris-Roubaix.
Maybe three days. Unfortunately for his rivals, those three days are the ones he wants most.
Everywhere else, the calculus is brutally simple. If Pogačar is good, he wins.
Avoiding Pog to win

Teams are already adjusting their long-term strategies around this doomsday scenario.
Vingegaard is targeting the Giro in a radical new approach to 2026. Remco Evenepoel might be going to the Tour this year, but that’s part of a larger strategy to win years down the roadnot in 2026.
Rivals will never work together to chase him down, even if that might seem like the only sane thing to do. Pro racing is too divided for that.
Last year, I asked several managers how, in a sport as hyper-competitive and data-driven as cycling, one rider could dominate the peloton so completely.
The answers varied, but all ended with the same shrug of the shoulders, followed by booof.
It was a feeling of acceptance, admiration, and a growing sense of futility that comes with repeatedly beating one’s head against an unmovable force.
Since hitting a new level in 2024, Pogačar has turned races into something resembling a one-man demolition derby, and now he’s backed by one of the deepest UAE squads ever assembled.
Races keep drifting toward a cut-and-paste outcome.
A peloton starts with hope, Pogačar quickly crushes those dreams with a long-distance raid, and the tattered chasers race for pride and leftovers.
Even the hyped new wave of young guns is learning the lesson.
Paul Seixas discovered the hard way Saturday how Pog rules. Pogacar isn’t fading yet.
Pogi fatigue setting in?

The big worry now is that Pogacar’s never-ending victory parade might start turning fans away.
There’s a case to be made that women’s cycling — with a more equitable distribution of talent — makes for much more dramatic and surprising outcomes.
Saturday’s Strade Bianche Donne certainly delivered more suspense.
Right now, any sign of Pogi fatigue doesn’t seem to be setting in.
The crowds in Tuscany on Saturday were massive, drawn in large part because Pogi was there.
Fans want to see the sport’s 21st-century great in person.
And there’s an alluring beauty to watching Pogačar operate at full flight.
He isn’t hiding in a train, surfing the wheels, or sniping victories on time bonuses.
He’s attacking from distances not seen since the black-and-white reels.
Pogačar is the rare intersection of freakish natural talent and modern Formula One science. He’s part old-school guts and glory, layered onto today’s cutting-edge technology.
Just call him RoboPog.
And Pogi’s engaging personality helps keep things fresh even as the lambs are led to slaughter.
Pog man Eminem; what’s not to love?
These are the times cycling is living in. Accept your fate. Things will change (eventually). Relish what’s in front of you.
So for now, the only tactic left against Pogačar might simply be hope.
