As fall progresses, New Yorkers are already planning for the crucial weekend of Thanksgivingand the key question is whether the weather could complicate the travel of the November 27, 2025. Although the general forecast of Old Farmer’s Almanac suggested a warmer-than-normal fall for much of the U.S., important New York regions such as Appalachia and the Lower Lakesthey could experience a season cooler and drier than usual, which keeps alive the possibility of seeing snow.
According to the analyzes of Climate Prediction Centerthe combination of meteorological phenomena such as Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the presence of The Girl (Pacific cooling) increases the chances of Arctic air intrusion. This situation increases the probability that cold air masses will move south, just around the date of Thanksgivingwhich could lead to snowy conditions in northern states.
Specifically in New York, meteorological projections indicate a potential increase in lake effect snowparticularly in areas adjacent to the Great Lakes. Although the first snowfall has historically arrived in the Northeast even in early November, the period around November 27 be key to the arrival of a cold air mass what would trigger the most important snowfalls. This could directly affect he thanksgiving traffic.
The SMN recommends caution in New York due to low temperatures and possible isolated storms. | Credit: AFP
Is it going to snow in New York for Thanksgiving?
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Snow is not expected in New York City for the Thanksgiving Day 2025 (Thursday, November 27)although a cold and partially sunny environment will predominate according to the most recent forecasts, with little chance of accumulated snow and temperatures below normal.
New York weather forecast for November 27, 2025
- Estimated temperatures will range between 1°C and 8°C (minimums close to 2°C and maximums close to 8°C).
- It is expected partly cloudy to cloudy skywith a feeling of constant cold and possible very light precipitation, but not significant snow.
- Los winds will be in moderate rangearound 14 and 22 km/h.
- The environment will ideally be cold, so it is recommended to wear coats and winter clothing; however, for There is no risk of significant snow accumulation in the New York urban area..
- Seasonal models and extended forecasts, such as the Old Farmer’s Almanacindicate that the possibility of snow is limited in New York for that date. The northernmost area of New England will have a better chance of seeing some flakes, while NY will remain cold but without significant snowfall during Thanksgiving.
- In Throughout the month of November, New York may have one or two days of light snowfallmainly towards the end of the month, but nothing that implies a significant snowfall for November 27 in the city.
Snow is not expected in New York City for Thanksgiving 2025 (Thursday, November 27)although a cold and partially sunny environment will predominate according to the most recent forecasts, with little chance of accumulated snow and temperatures below usual.
There are cities in New York that have been enduring a lot of snow. In the image, a car covered in snow in Tappan on February 13, 2024 (Photo: Kena Betancur / AFP)
Hourly forecast for New York on November 27, 2025
The hourly forecast available for New York on Thursday, November 27, 2025 indicates a cold and predominantly cloudy day, with no snow expected and a low chance of light drizzle at times. The precise hourly data for that day, based on different verifiable meteorological sources, is as follows:
- Early morning (00:00 – 06:00):
- Morning (06:00 – 12:00):
- Afternoon (12:00 – 18:00):
- Night (18:00 – 24:00):
There is no relevant probability of snow in the city during the key hours of Thanksgiving 2025, only low thermal sensation and humid environment, ideal for winter clothing and umbrellas in case it rains. Likewise, the hourly forecast will be updated as the date approaches, but current models offer these general trends.
If you need an even more detailed forecast of each hour close to the date, it is advisable to consult official portals such as National Weather Service (NWS) o Weather.com days before the event.
What are the chances of snow in New York on November 27, 2025?
The chances of snow in New York on November 27, 2025 are low, based on current weather forecasts. New York City typically only experiences one or two light snow days during November, with significant snow accumulations typically occurring in mid-December or later. For Thanksgiving 2025, cold weather is expected with temperatures between 1°C and 12°C, possibly some light rain, but the conditions for significant snowfall are not present according to the models and reports consulted.
In summary, the probability of significant snow in New York on November 27, 2025 is very low and, if it occurs, it would only be isolated flakes without forming a white blanket.
