Recent legislative proposals aimed at modifying the Medicaid program could have a significant impact on adults ages 50 and older, potentially reducing access to healthcare and increasing financial instability. A budget reconciliation bill passed by the House includes changes to Medicaid intended to reduce federal spending and enrollment.

Medicaid Spending and Older Adults

Medicaid plays a crucial role in providing healthcare coverage for older adults, particularly those with long-term service and support (LTSS) needs. According to recent data,Medicaid per person spending for enrollees using long term care was 8-times greater than average Medicaid spending for enrollees who did not use any long term care.

Among Medicaid enrollees ages 50 and older, 92% are eligible for Medicaid either through the ACA expansion pathway.

Over 90% of older adults with Medicaid enroll through pathways that would be affected by reconciliation provisions making it harder to enroll in and maintain Medicaid. Among Medicaid enrollees ages 50 and older, 92% are eligible for Medicaid either through the ACA expansion pathway (27%) or through pathways that are specifically for older adults and people with disabilities (65%), both of which are disproportionately affected by the House and Senate versions of the reconciliation bill (Figure 2). In the House-passed reconciliation bill, about half of the federal spending reductions, accounting for $427 billion over 10 years, stem from provisions that only apply to states that have adopted the ACA Medicaid expansion. The biggest reductions in enrollment for expansion enrollees stem from work requirements and a new requirement for states to redetermine eligibility for expansion enrollees at least twice per year. Those changes are likely to reduce Medicaid enrollment among adults ages 50-64.

The second largest source of spending cuts in the reconciliation bill ($167 billion) stem from delaying implementation of two rules that streamline Medicaid enrollment and renewal processes until 2035. The delayed rules were expected to disproportionately increase enrollment among medicaid enrollees eligible because they were ages 65 and older or because of a disability,who account for 65% of all older Medicaid enrollees. The frist rule helps eligible Medicare beneficiaries more easily access Medicaid coverage of Medicare premiums and cost sharing while the second rule streamlines submission and enrollment processes in Medicaid, including requiring states to renew eligibility only every 12 months for older adults and people with disabilities. CBO estimates that eliminating those rules would reduce the number of Medicaid enrollees by 2.3 million in 2034, 1.3 million of whom also have Medicare (dual-eligible individuals).

Medicaid coverage Rates

The share of adults ages 50 and older who have Medicaid coverage nationally is 14% and varies across states. Nationally, 14% of adults ages 50 and older have Medicaid, with more than 20% of people 50 and older having Medicaid in four states and the District of Columbia (Louisiana, New Mexico, California and New York, Figure 3). Medicaid enrollees include those for whom Medicaid is their only source of health insurance and those who have Medicaid in addition to another source of coverage, including Medicare. The percentage of adults ages 50 and older covered by Medicaid tends to be higher in the 41 states that expanded Medicaid under the ACA (15%),than in states that did not expand Medicaid under the ACA (12%). Additionally, rates of Medicaid coverage among those ages 50 and older are higher in states with lower average incomes and lower rates of health insurance offered through employers.

Work Requirements and Barriers to Employment

More than 8 in 10 older adults on Medicaid are working or face barriers to work. The CBO estimates that Medicaid work requirements in the House reconciliation bill,which would apply to adults ages 19-64,would reduce the number of people with Medicaid by 5.2 million.Medicaid enrollees ages 50 and older typically have lower rates of employment and increased barriers to work compared to all Medicaid enrollees ages 19-64. Among adults ages 50 to 64 with Medicaid who do not receive benefits from the social Security disability programsSupplemental Security Income (SSI) and Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI), and who are not also covered by Medicare, 37% reported working full-time and 15% were working part-time. Others reported not working due to caregiving responsibilities (9%), illness or disability (20%), or school attendance (1%, Figure 4).The remaining 17% of Medicaid adults ages 50-64 reported that they are retired, unable to find work, or are not working for another reason. A 2022 CBO report found that Medicaid work requirements were unlikely to increase employment rates but would be likely to result in loss of Medicaid.

Even though both reconciliation bills provide exemptions for people based on caregiving responsibilities and illness or disability, those people still must comply with reporting requirements, increasing the risk of losing Medicaid.The provisions in the bills apply to individuals in the ACA Medicaid expansion group, so it would not include individuals who have Medicare or SSI; though, many who are enrolled in the expansion group may have a disabilitydespite not receiving SSI or SSDI benefits. In Arkansaswhich implemented work requirements from June 2018-March 2019, about 70% of the population that had to actively report work hours lost coverage primarily due to failure to regularly report work status or document eligibility for an exemption.

Food Insecurity and SNAP benefits

Provisions in the House and Senate reconciliation bills could result in loss of coverage and SNAP benefits for Medicaid enrollees ages 50 and older who already report higher rates of household food insecurity compared to those without Medicaid.The House and Senate reconciliation bills would create work requirements for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP),which could exacerbate financial challenges for older Medicaid enrollees. Medicaid enrollees ages 50 and older are over two and a half times more likely to experience household food insecurity than those not enrolled in Medicaid. Among Medicaid enrolled adults ages 50 and older, 28% live in households with food insecurity compared to 10% of those not enrolled in Medicaid (Figure 5). Among Medicaid enrollees 50 or older, nearly half (45%) were enrolled in SNAP for at least one month compared to 3% of their counterparts who were not enrolled in Medicaid. This pattern primarily reflects the significant overlap in eligibility requirements for medicaid and SNAP, though this may vary by state and coverage population. Beyond the direct reductions proposed to SNAP, loss of Medicaid coverage may increase barriers to enrolling in SNAP as many states use Medicaid enrollment to determine eligibility for other public benefit programs, including SNAP.