Magali Cohen / Hans Lucas via AFP
Sébastien Lecornu photographed in Matignon on the day of power (September 10).
POLITICS – This Friday, October 3 is a big day for the Socialist Party. Not only because his hierarchs led by Olivier Faure go to Matignon to discuss the budget with Sébastien Lecornu, but because the ” plan dissolution Finny in recent months by Pierre Jouvet, secretary general of the PS, should be finalized.
One way to prepare for the hypothesis but above all to send the following message to the Prime Minister: No need to count on an alleged fear of returning to the voters to tear an unsatisfactory agreement, it does not exist. At least, publicly.
In response to the first tracks launched by Matignon on the sidelines of the mobilization of this Thursday, the first secretary of the PS again played the refrain of the threat. “” For the moment, no measure that has been made public is likely to influence our own position “, Reacted Olivier Faure, promising a government’s censorship” From the declaration of general policy If nothing is evolving in the direction of the left. Either, in the coming days.
The next blow
In reality, and as we explained in the week, all the parties were a reason, and are preparing at low noise to go back in the countryside. “We have reserved paper, printers. We have a website that can be activated in an hour or two if necessary. We are ready “assures AFP a Renaissance official. As for the RN, it calls for a dissolution ” ultra -fast And swears to have sorted out in his candidates to avoid the cohort of bad light sheep that marked the 2024 campaign.
In this context, how to carry out negotiations on the budget, while the staff of the various political stables already seem to play the next blow, in fact demonetizing the work carried out by Sébastien Lecornu? In the Socialist Party, where the Prime Minister’s interview refusing the ISF and the Zucman tax has the effect of a bomb, we suspect the head of government to facilitate the scenario of a return to the ballot box, by consolidating the alliance between the central block and the Republicans in order to go together in the next elections.
« He takes us for idiots. To the point where we are, Lecornu does not prepare his survival but his electoral coalition for the next dissolution », Prognostic a socialist framework quoted by The Parisian. Except that, the Republicans continue to raise the auctions, Bruno Retailleau making believe that his party may not be present in the future team. Above all, to believe Le FigaroEmmanuel Macron (who alone has the power to dissolve the National Assembly) wishes to avoid pressing the button, even in the event of a fall by Sébastien Lecornu.
The reason? The too high risks that this hypothesis has, between the chances of the national rally to obtain a majority, the probable sagging of the central block or even worse, a more or less equivalent assembly which would change nothing to instability and which would, above all, as a consequence of pointing out the eyes of the tenant of the Élysée at the time when the small music of the resignation is gaining in intensity.
Lecornu in Barnier’s footsteps?
What measure the delicate situation in which the Prime Minister is, forced to deal with the red lines (incompatible) of the right and the left, and without being able to have the blackmail to the dissolution to win some budgetary arbitrations. Unless you rely on the RN, which expressed a form of optimism after the first tracks given by the Head of Government, now setting two conditions not to censor Sébastien Lecornu: the drop in taxes and that of public spending.
Now, as said above, the troops of Marine Le Pen and Jordan are rushing to go back in the campaign, and the Lepénist party will have no trouble lowering his thumb when he deems it opportune in order to push the head of state to dissolve the Assembly. Besides, trusting the RN with a view to building a budget, Michel Barnier has already done so. He had problems.
