Hamas will release the hostage, close down weapons, have to destroy the military infrastructure, give up political power and agree to a fuzzy wording of continued Israeli presence in Gaza-according to the 20-point list that the United States and Israel negotiated without Palestinian presence.
Why would the Islamist group agree to it?
“The main answer is because they simply do not have much to election,” says Joas Wagemakers, professor of Islamology at the University of Utrecht and expert on Hamas and Palestinian nationalism.
Hamas stands after two years of devastating war with his back against the wall. From Hama’s point of view, an end to the war is necessary for the movement to survive. Although they have agreed to give away the triumphal card – hostage – the negotiations continue.
To give away The political power, as the 20-point agreement requires, is probably the “least unacceptable” for Hamas, according to Wagemakers. Disarming becomes more difficult for the movement, which was formed as a military response to Israel’s occupation in the 1980s. Maybe you will try to get a variant where only larger weapons are handed over to Israel.
-One could argue that Hamas members should be integrated into a Palestinian police force, which militant Palestinian groups did according to the Oslo agreement in the 1990s, says Wagemakers.
Hamas members who commit to peaceful coexistence and close their weapons must, according to the 20-point plan, receive amnesty, and be allowed to move to “recipient countries”. Turkey and Qatar are the most likely refuge since other neighboring countries – Egypt and Jordan – have been more negatively attached to the Islamist group.
But even if The US negotiated plan is followed, it is not possible to say that Israel has succeeded in its goal of wiping out Hamas. Without a political solution to the basic problem, the dismantling of the grouping will only lead to a similar alternative arising in its place, according to Joas Wagemakers.
– There will still be Palestinian nationalism, there will still be a conflict, and Palestinians will still be angry about the lack of self -determination. It will express itself in violence.
