Expert Picks for the 2025 RBC canadian Open
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Our golf expert Brady Kannon gives his betting tips for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open, including why he likes Mackenzie Hughes‘ chances this week.
TORONTO – As June arrives, the PGA Tour heads north of the border for the RBC Canadian Open before returning to the U.S. for the U.S. Open, than crossing the Atlantic for the Scottish Open and The Open Championship at Royal Portrush.
The Canadian Open, dating back to 1904, will be played for the first time at TPC Toronto at Osprey valley. This course, which opened in 2001 and was redesigned in 2023, will also host the 2026 Canadian Open. it’s a long par 70, measuring nearly 7,400 yards, with wide fairways bordered by thick rough and large Bentgrass and Poa Annua greens.
Key Stats and Course Correlation
Given the course’s length and wide fairways, driving distance will be crucial. Key stats to consider include Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, Hole Proximity from 175-200 yards, Strokes Gained: Approach, Scrambling, and Strokes Gained: Putting (Bent/Poa).
As TPC Toronto is new to the PGA Tour, pinpointing correlated courses is challenging. However, similar courses include Colonial Country Club,TPC San Antonio, TPC Craig Ranch, memorial Park, and Detroit Golf Club.
Brady Kannon’s Betting Picks
Mackenzie Hughes (45-1)
While the pressure on Canadians to win at home is high, Mackenzie Hughes is in excellent form and has a solid track record at this tournament, with past finishes of seventh, 14th, and eighth.notably, an American hasn’t won this event since 2018. Hughes has sufficient length off the tee, performs well at correlated courses, and possesses a strong short game. With two top-10 finishes and a runner-up in his last seven starts, he is expected to perform well this week.
Alex Noren (55-1)
Alex Noren returned to action four weeks ago after a seven-month hamstring injury and has been playing well. He has two top-10 finishes in Detroit, two top-15 finishes at TPC San Antonio, and has finished third and 12th at the byron nelson, and 11th and fourth in Houston.His Tee to Green game has been strong, and he is a triumphant putter on Bent/Poa greens. his recent performances at the truist Championship, PGA Championship, and the Memorial suggest he’s ready to contend in Toronto.
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Matti Schmid (80-1)
Matti Schmid recently finished runner-up at Colonial Country Club. Before that, he had three additional top-10 finishes in the last two months. His iron play has been outstanding, ranking seventh in this field for SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds and No. 1 in Hole Proximity from 175-200 yards.
Davis Riley (86-1)
Davis riley has a win and a fourth-place finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a ninth-place finish at the Byron Nelson. He also finished runner-up at the PGA Championship three weeks ago. Over the last 24 rounds, Riley ranks 10th in this field for SG: Tee to Green and for SG: putting (Bent/poa).
Justin Rose (95-1)
Justin Rose, another past winner at Colonial, has also finished top 10 in Houston, and his last two Canadian Open appearances resulted in eighth and fourth place finishes. He’s an excellent putter on Bent/Poa surfaces, ranking 28th in the field over the last 24 rounds. After a withdrawal from the Truist Championship and a missed cut at the PGA Championship, he played two poor and two good rounds at the Memorial. With strong finishes this season, including third at Pebble Beach, eighth at Bay Hill, and second at Augusta National, a positive week is anticipated.
Ricky Castillo (120-1)
Ricky Castillo has been consistent this season. Over the last 24 rounds, Castillo is fourth in this field for SG: Tee to Green. He ranks 30th on Par 4s of 450-500 yards and is 27th in SG: Putting (Bent/Poa). He recently finished fifth at TPC Craig Ranch and earlier this season finished 15th at Torrey Pines.
