Trade war will not hinder China’s foreign trade growth
After Trump came to power, he immediately launched a trade war around the world, targeting China directly and demanding that Chinese goods exported to the United States pay higher tariffs than any other country in the world. The United States is the largest market in the world. Countries with high bids, large demand, and export capabilities all aim to export to the United States, because this is the greatest guarantee of profitability.
Therefore, when people know that China has been listed as a key target of the trade war by the United States, they all believe that China is bound to be in disaster and its foreign trade will inevitably take a heavy blow. For a long time, foreign trade has been the locomotive of China’s economy. If exports are hindered, the overall economy will also be dragged down.
However, it has been nearly a year since the trade war began, and China’s foreign trade situation is far better than imagined. Taking the past November as an example, China’s total import and export value reached US$549.025 billion, an increase of 4.3% year-on-year; exports accounted for US$330.35 billion, an increase of 5.9% year-on-year; imports accounted for US$218.67 billion, an increase of 1.9% year-on-year; the surplus reached US$111.68 billion, which is really enviable to others.
From January to November 2025, the mainland’s total import and export value reached US$5,753.62 billion, up 2.9% year-on-year, of which exports were US$3,414.735 billion, up 5.4% year-on-year, and imports accounted for US$2,338.885 billion, down 0.6% year-on-year. The surplus exceeded US$1 trillion for the first time, reaching US$1,075.85 billion, an extremely impressive result.
Since the start of the trade war, the United States has not only imposed extremely high and unreasonable tariffs on Chinese goods exported to the United States, but has also imposed punitive tariffs on countries that re-export products to the United States for China, believing that it can block the channels for Chinese products to be exported to the United States. However, although these measures have produced certain effects, it is the United States itself that is more seriously injured.
Few of China’s products are sold to the United States, but they can be sold to ASEAN and the EU, as well as to countries along the Belt and Road. As a result, China’s exports have risen instead of falling. The trade surplus has exceeded one trillion US dollars, and the RMB exchange rate is extremely stable.
As for the United States, the imposition of additional tariffs has not only caused inflationary pressure to rise, but has also caused the United States to lack the supply of many necessary supplies, of which rare earths are only a well-known one. U.S. officials themselves have publicly admitted that the trade war has made the United States realize that at this stage, the United States is not yet in a position to completely decouple from China.
The United States not only relies on China’s exports, but also relies on China’s imports. If U.S. agricultural products, especially soybeans, are not sold to China, there will be no other country with such a huge appetite.
Most people’s unexpected, the original Jinda (Nvidia) chips, also rely on China’s help, did not have increased inventory. China sees the US H20 is also refusing to sell to China, and the drizzle prohibits the company in the future to buy Finda chips in the future. Scared the restrictions in the United States, even H200 can also be sold to China in large quantities, so as not to call the merger white and white to lose the opportunity to earn Chinese money.
The reality is that once a production technology is mastered by the Chinese, China can use an ultra-low price to meet the needs of the international market. The West should use China’s strengths to curb its own inflation, rather than giving up its own strengths to compete with China. In this way, everyone can communicate with each other and show their strengths. If the United States had not provoked the dispute in the first place, China would not have used trade as a chokehold.
