NASA has given the good news that the asteroid 2024 YR4 will no longer impact with the Tierrahowever, in its most recent study it maintains that there is some probability of serious consequences for our world due to the impact of this spatial fragment with the moon.
These will be the consequences for the Earth of the impact of 2024 YR4 with the lunar surface
The detection made through the Atlas system in Chile of a large space rock in the terrestrial path obtained a high weighting on the Turin danger scale, and since then they were generated Studies on its displacement to determine the probability of impact against the Earth.
Fortunately, the study of the trajectory carried by the asteroid detected months ago has allowed NASA to verify that this will not even enter the earth’s atmosphere, that is, the investigation revealed that there is no chance that it impacts against our planet.
It has not been so in the case of the Moon, since in a recent analysis carried out by NASA based on the observation made with the powerful James Webb telescope there was a 4% impact probability of the asteroid with the moon on December 22, 2032.
According to scientists responsible for the study, the impact against the lunar surface could cause serious consequences in the sense that it will generate tons of rubble that will fly towards space and that could cause problems to satellites.
The cloud of space garbage that will rise puts terrestrial communications
According to a new study, there is the probability that the explosion generated projects more than 100 million tons of debris, producing a cloud of fragments that would represent a Potential Risk of collision against satellites near the lunar orbit.
In the opinion of Paul Wiegert, one of the main responsible for the investigation, there is the probability that the impact of this space rock with the moon in 2032 could generate an effect on it that ends up affecting the existence on Earth, especially due to the cloud of debris.
The space rock that has been baptized with the name of 2024 YR4 could measure about 53-67 m in diameter, that is, its dimensions would be similar to that of the Asteroid that rushed in the Siberian region of Tunguska in 1908 and that triggered an explosion that swept 2,000 kilometers of forests.
Hence, the rocky spatial fragment with dimensions similar to that of a 15 -story building that will collide with the moon has already been given the title of “cities murderer”, however, NASA maintains that the impact would not cause any change in the orbit of our natural satellite.
The 15 -story building that collapses on the lunar surface will cause megaexplosion
NASA has already confirmed that the asteroid detected on December 27, 2024 and whose trajectory was originally said it could coincide with that of the Earth, it will no longer collide against our planet, however, the impact against the Moon remains a probability.
The chances of 2024 YR4 impacting the moon are 4%, generating a crater, in case of impact, of One kilometer in diameter and its explosion would exceed that of the Siberian Taiga being equivalent to approximately 6.5 metric tons of TNT.
Wiegert warns that the moon materials that are projected to space can represent a serious threat to space and satellites near the lunar orbit, in addition to the accumulation of these debris in the vicinity will affect the spatial operations that are performed.
In conclusion, even when it is assumed that this great spatial rock 2024 YR4 is not chances of impact against the earth, the rain of space garbage that could generate the remains of the impact against the lunar surface remains a threat to the satellites that are close to the moon in 2032.
