Trump Campaigns in New Mexico and Virginia Amid Low Odds

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Donald Trump’s Campaign Detours: Making His Way to New Mexico and Virginia

In a daring move in the final days of his campaign, former President Donald Trump will be traveling to New Mexico and Virginia. These states, historically unfriendly to Republican presidential candidates, serve as a notable detour from the main battlegrounds. Here’s a closer look at why he’s making these stops and what electoral strategies he hopes to achieve.

Campaign Strategy and Early Days

The Trump team is projecting optimism, with a focus on early voting numbers and the hope that he can compete in these states if he succeeds in key swing states like Nevada and Arizona. While both New Mexico and Virginia have not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since George W. Bush in 2004, Trump is aiming to change that dynamic.

The Swing States

The states that received the most candidate visits and advertising blitzes in recent weeks have been Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In these states, voting is known to be highly competitive and crucial for the upcoming election.

Trump’s Non-Battleground Visits

Trump, known for brushing off conventional strategies, has also traveled to states like Montana and California in recent times. His visit to Madison Square Garden in New York and to Coachella, California, served mainly to raise media attention rather than substantial electoral support.

Risk and Opposition

Political consultants, like Bob Shrum, question the strategy. Trump’s visit to Arizona during the 2016 campaign rather than focusing on states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania was criticized as poor decision-making. While Arizona is a battleground, it wasn’t competitive eight years ago.

Trump’s Message in New Mexico and Virginia

Trump’s visit to Albuquerque brings his immigration stance to a border state rich in Latino voters. New Mexico has a significant Latino population and deals with a current surge in migrant deaths at the U.S.-Mexico border. His visit may also highlight the congressional race there, where a Republican candidate is fighting to hold on to a Democratic seat.

Virginia: A Tight Race

Virginia was once a battleground but has trended towards Democrats in recent years, particularly in the northern Virginia suburbs. Democrats have outspent Republicans on ads in Virginia, but Trump remains hopeful. He plans to discuss the recent Supreme Court decision that upheld Virginia’s voter registration purge.

Quoted Comments

  • Bob Shrum: "I don’t think there’s any strategy. I think he insisted on doing it. It makes no sense."
  • Glenn Youngkin: “Virginia is far more competitive than any of the pundits would have believed.”
  • Susan Swecker: “Kamala Harris will win Virginia convincingly.”

Implications for the Election

While Trump’s detours add drama and media buzz, strategic analysts are skeptical. The focus remains on the swing states, where margins can determine the election’s outcome.

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