October weather: long -term forecasts, what could happen
October It approaches and long -term forecasts already show interesting movements from a atmospheric point of view for our country.
First half of October abnormal
The First half of October he promises to be abnormalalmost a reiteration of the unusually mild and stable climate that has characterized a large part of September. A vast anticyclone will probably establish itself on western Europe, guaranteeing sunny days e temperatures well above the seasonal average. The areas most affected by this high pressure “bubble” will be France, Spain, the United Kingdom and, in part, also Italy.
However, the North and the Adriatic Regions could see some exceptions. Some disturbed tail of Atlantic origin, in fact, by parading north of the Alps, could be able to scratch the northernmost edge, going down from the Bora door and bringing some raineven without altering the general stability framework. 
The Second half of October it may instead be explosive. The current projections indicate a clear change in atmospheric circulation. The Atlantic flowthat is, the current that transports the disturbances from the ocean to the continent, will lower latitude, aiming straight to western Europe and the Mediterranean.
This lowering will bring a phase of widespread and heavy bad weather on Italy and on most western Europe. Are expected rains abundant e thunderstorms frequent, with a return to more typically autumn climatic conditions.
Temperatures always above average
Despite the return of the rains, another anomaly will continue to dominate the scene, the one linked to temperature. Scraps are expected between the +1°C e i +3°C compared to the reference average on most of the old continent.
