Will the anticyclone enter or not enter after the late autumn cold episode that we will live in the first days of October?
The hypotheses compared see the GFS model to focus on the at least partial affirmation of a flow of disturbed currents coming from the west with the involvement of the north, where they would intervene by Monday 6 or Tuesday 7 new rainfall.
The ECMWF model instead sees the return of the anticyclone from 5 to 10 October and only subsequently a possible change determined by the insertion of Atlantic currents with their disturbances:
This is the version of the ECMWF model The anticyclone according to this version should accompany us for a few days of early cold at the beginning of the month.
However, there is also the intermediate hypothesisthat of the partial interference of the Atlantic flow with only modest and substantial disturbances of the anticyclone, proposed by other models:
Here the anticyclone would be clearly differentthat is, west of the peninsula and the disturbances at most would make the so -called “beard” at the Alps, sliding on the Balkans.
In short: one thing emerges clearly: After the cold episode, already widely documented, the anticyclone will try to have his say, proposing his figure in a mammoth again with respect to the shy aspect often shown in September and with which he will also approach the very first days of October.
In summary: but then there will be a beautiful octobray or not?
Probably yes, from Saturday 4th and for a few days (perhaps until 8, perhaps even beyond) 65% of the models include more stable and mild time conditions on Italy, a minority, including the GFS model instead provide for the return of the rains to the north at times as early as 6-7 October.
In any case, everyone provides for a general rise in temperatures, which would report in the context of seasonal averages after October 4th.
