The mortality rate calculated at 2.2% at the beginning of the month is rather at 5.5%; a difference mainly attributable to deaths in CHSLDs. However, the agency has not revised its long-term forecast which predicted between 4,000 and 44,000 deaths in the country at the end of the epidemic, in the best case scenario.
The number of cases is now doubling every 16 days. And each infected person in turn infects “a little more” than one person. Dre Tam and his deputy Dr Howard Njoo could not offer a more precise figure. They stressed, however, that the goal is for each infected person to pass the virus to “a little less” than one person.
The agency has all the same redone its calculations in the short term, failing to have adjusted its forecasts for the long term. Now, she expects within a week, on May 5, to see the number of cases to be between 53,000 and 67,000, and the number of deaths to fluctuate between 3,277 and 3,883.
Agreement on the criteria for deconfinement
“These are not precise measurements. These are basic principles that will inform the measures taken by the various governments, depending on their situation, ”explained Prime Minister Trudeau before the publication of a joint declaration by the country’s prime ministers.
This declaration lists the criteria and guidelines necessary before undertaking a return to economic or school activity.
– The spread of the virus must be controlled, that is to say that the health systems in place can manage the number of cases and that the number of hospitalizations is stabilized.
– There are sufficient screening tests and resources to trace contagions and follow up on the quarantines imposed.
– Health systems can care for COVID-19 patients and others. Sufficient personal protective equipment, medical supplies and drugs are available.
– There are measures in place to prevent the virus from spreading too far among certain populations such as elders, inmates, the homeless, natives or workers in hospitals.
– There are preventive measures in the workplace and means to monitor their compliance.
– Travel restrictions between provinces or between regions must be “relaxed and managed in a concerted manner”.
Wage subsidy for businesses
More than 44,000 businesses have already applied for the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy (CUSS). This federal aid covers 75% of an employee’s salary, but at a maximum of $ 847 per week.
Ottawa has promised to start distributing the money as early as May 7.
Ottawa has so far succeeded in repatriating 20,000 Canadians. This required 182 flights from 81 countries. There were also the 5,000 tourists on some 180 cruise ships that had to be brought home. The last Canadians who were still sailing for pleasure were able to return last weekend.
According to what the Minister of Foreign Affairs, François-Philippe Champagne, said during the virtual meeting of the Commons on Tuesday afternoon, the repatriation operation is “80%” completed.
“It was (…) the largest and most complex repatriation effort in our country’s peacetime history,” said Champagne.
On Tuesday, Canadians were able to return home from Colombia and Pakistan.
There are 345,379 Canadian citizens abroad registered with the Department of Global Affairs. The actual number of Canadians outside the country is much higher.
Ottawa distributed $ 7.2 million in loans to 2,227 of these involuntary expatriates. The federal government is still reviewing some 2,000 other loan applications.
There have been over 740,000 tests administered in Canada to date. About 7% of them detected the disease.
These tests identified 50,026 confirmed and probable cases. COVID-19 has killed 2,859 Canadians.
Distribution of cases across the country, according to the most recent provincial and territorial reports: 25,757 cases in Quebec, including 1,682 deaths; 15,381 cases in Ontario, including 951 deaths; 4,850 cases in Alberta, including 80 deaths; 2053 cases in British Columbia, including 105 deaths; 915 cases in Nova Scotia, including 27 deaths; 366 cases in Saskatchewan, including five deaths; 272 cases in Manitoba, including six deaths; 258 cases in Newfoundland and Labrador, including three deaths; 118 cases in New Brunswick, including 114 cured; 27 cases in Prince Edward Island, 24 of which recovered; 11 cases in the Yukon, eight of which recovered; five cases in the Northwest Territories, all cured; no case in Nunavut.
To these provincial and territorial reports are added the 13 cases, all cured, among passengers repatriated from the cruise ship. Grand Princess March 10.