The president of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, a Democrat from California, will meet with her troops on Tuesday and is expected to finally give in her refusal to send the articles of political trial to the other chamber, a delay caused by an attempt to Dictate the terms of the trial.
The way in which the public sees the climax of the scandal will determine the rest of the president’s mandate, his hopes for a second term and the fate of the Senate in the November elections.
Democrats hope to qualify Republicans as shields of a historically corrupt president and create a powerful line of argument for their eventual 2020 nominee, who will argue that the episode shows that Trump is not fit to stay in the White House.
But it is certain that Trump will see his escape as a claim of an impulsive and unchained leadership style, while Republicans compete to show loyalty to a president who dominates his party as few of his predecessors.
He is using every drop of his power to keep Washington hooked. When CNN asked her on Monday if she had chosen political trial managers to present the case in the Senate that Trump abused his power in Ukraine, then covered it, she replied: “When I do, I will let you know.”
House Democrats are expected to vote on Wednesday to appoint managers, a step that will crush constitutional changes throughout the Capitol, where senators will swear and the dramatic trial led by Supreme Court President John Roberts will begin in a few days. .
The multiple political games within the accusation puzzle
Nothing will change the fact that Trump is in the most dubious club in perpetual presidential politics. Only Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton share that destiny that defines the legacy. But the battle is now for a more immediate policy. That is why the dispute between Republicans and Democrats for witnesses is so important.
Democrats believe that the witnesses who already called in the House investigation and hope to hear from him in the Senate paint an image of an irresponsible and corrupt presidency that could scare unencumbered voters.
By highlighting the resistance of Republicans, such as the leader of the Senate majority, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, to hear such testimony, they can accuse the Republican Party of covering up a battering president.
“Most Americans know that President Trump … seems to be afraid of the truth,” Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer, a New York Democrat, warned Monday. “A trial without all the facts is a farce. The verdicts of a kangaroo court are empty.”
Republicans have little interest in digging up new and questionable behaviors by the president or shedding light on the damning testimony of foreign policy officials about Trump’s behavior heard in the House.
The Republican Party leadership is under pressure both to orchestrate Trump’s rapid acquittal to please voters and to protect vulnerable incumbents as they fight to maintain control of the Senate.
Recent polls show that both parties have an interest in playing with their most committed supporters, regardless of what the Constitution provides for the chamber to act as a nonpartisan arbitrator of presidential behavior.
The Republican Party argues that it is not the task of the Senate to continue investigating, especially after House Democrats chose not to take legal action to force witnesses like former national security adviser John Bolton to testify.
What did Pelosi win?
“Now the ball is on his court to do that or pay a price,” he said on ABC News’s “This Week.”
But Pelosi failed to force McConnell to accept a plan to listen to a list of witnesses before the trial begins.
“In terms of influencing Senate procedures, this strange tactic has achieved absolutely nothing,” the majority leader said Monday.
Still, McConnell does not have complete control. You cannot afford to lose more than three senators for your part in the procedural votes. And several Republican senators have expressed concern about how he has coordinated Trump’s defense with the White House.
Senator Mitt Romney of Utah said Monday, for example, that he “would like to know” about Bolton, but did not ask to be cited.
Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska told reporters she is working on a process to hold votes on witnesses and possible information if necessary.
According to the sworn testimony in the House of Representatives investigation, Bolton considered the Ukrainian fixer and Trump’s personal lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, as a “hand grenade.” The former national security adviser now says he would be willing to appear at the Senate trial if they cite him, although the White House is likely to seek to limit his testimony with assertions of executive privilege.
At one point, the president was eager for an exhibition trial, along with witnesses who could arrest Biden for claims that he and his son Hunter were guilty of corruption in Ukraine. There is no evidence to corroborate such charges.
Then, the president seemed to be trying to get a quick acquittal that he could use in the election campaign. Now he is asking the Republican senators to eliminate the charges as soon as they arrive.
“Many believe that if the Senate gives credit to a trial based on lack of evidence, there is no crime, it reads the transcripts, the Deception of Accusation ‘without pressure’, instead of an absolute rejection, it gives the partisan Democrat credibility of the witch hunt that I don’t have otherwise. I agree! “Trump tweeted on Sunday.
But such a strategy would almost certainly be counterproductive.
“I think I’m sure that there is almost no interest in a motion to dismiss,” Senator Roy Blunt of Missouri, a member of the Senate leadership team, told reporters on Monday.
“Certainly, there are not 51 votes to reject a motion,” he said.
Despite the president’s preferences, the White House has been preparing for the trial. White House lawyer Pat Cipollone has been working on Trump’s defense for weeks. He is expected to work with President Jay Sekulow’s external lawyer, a trouble-free television interpreter.
And Giuliani witnesses much of Trump’s unofficial diplomatic scheme in Ukraine and could become a gift for Senate Democrats.
CNN’s Manu Raju, Jeremy Herb, Lauren Fox, Phil Mattingly, Ted Barrett, Pamela Brown, Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak contributed to this story.