Home news Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: MLB Picks, preview for April 9th

Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: MLB Picks, preview for April 9th


Tuesday brings us a 10-game baseball game STACKED with pitching options. With Jacob deGrom ($ 11,600), Gerrit Cole ($ 10,500) and Aaron Nola ($ 9,400) on the hill, we will have a lot of tough decisions to make tonight. Immerse yourself in all the information you need and as always, you can reach me on the old Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game notes

Top Pitcher

Jacob deGrom, ($ 11,600), NYM (-220) vs. MIN (+188) – If deGrom is taking the hill, you can almost guarantee that the Mets will be the biggest favorites on the list. Taking his third start of the season, deGrom was almost perfect against the Nationals and Marlins, throwing a total of 13 innings of shutout as he emerged! Return to Citi Field for the first time this season, where he will release a .217 wOBA and a 2.51 xFIP in 2018. With this event in a National League park, the twins will lose their DH spot, or Nelson Cruz ($ 3,900) will be back on the bench. It is difficult to go against deGrom as he passes, especially when he is at Citi Field. With a ridiculous swing-and-miss rate of 20.3% to start the year, it's simply making the opponents look stupid in the beginning.

The highest total

ATL (+115) vs. WITH THE (-130) 11 tracks – On a night when pitching is a reward, the game totals are a little low overall. Nothing of a little Coors Field action cannot be resolved. Max Fried ($ 6,400) will oppose the Rockies German Marquez ($ 8,800) after these teams combined for 14 races last night. This game will attract a lot of attention as Fried is a left-handed and we all know how to play the Rocky Mountains when they face a southpaw, especially at the Coors Camp. The Braves will also attract a lot of interest because you know, Coors Field, but also for other reasons. While Marquez was stellar on the road in the 18th, he also had his fair share of Coors fights, owning a .339 wOBA with 13 of his 24 home races allowed. The lefties got the best of him with a .375 woba and a 3.68 xFIP. The biggest question is whether you want DeGrom or Coors Field to be exposed tonight because you're not getting both.

Meteorological concerns

WAS@ PHI (Citizens Bank Park) – Potentially a delayed start here, but overall, it should be a smooth baseball night.

MIN @ NYM (Citi Field) – Same situation we will see in Philly. We may see a slight delay to start the game, but once we start we shouldn't see any problems for the rest of the evening.

Divide in the beginning

The statistics shown here will be from the 2018 season until May 1st

Pitchers vs. Batters for left-handed people

Worst against LHB Woba xFIP Best against LHB Woba xFIP
Freddy Peralta .374 4.86 Derek Holland 0.209 4:05
German Marquez 0.342 3.88 Gerrit Cole 0.236 2.63
Matt Harvey 0,341 4:53 Aaron Nola 0.251 3:36

Pitchers vs. Batters right handed

Worst against RHB Woba xFIP Best against RHB Woba xFIP
Joey Lucchesi 0.342 3.67 Freddy Peralta 0,185 3.93
Derek Holland 0.339 4:08 Jacob deGrom .205 2:35
Brett Anderson 0.337 3.78 Aaron Nola 0,252 3:07

Top Hard-Hit%

This section will be populated with hitters who have the highest success rate in the last seven days. This percentage can help distinguish who is swinging the bat well over the past week. I will update this day every day in order to have a constant stream of names in this section.

First name Team Salary Hard blow%
Yasmani Grandal MIL $ 4200 81.8%
Rio Ruiz BAL $ 3800 77.8%
Logan Forsythe TEX $ 3600 75%
Christian Walker ARI $ 4200 69.2%
Josh Donaldson ATL $ 4900 69.2%

Line Startup

Jug to build around

Jacob deGrom, NYM vs. MIN, $ 11,600 – Honestly you can't say with a cheek that deGrom ISNIt is the best option on this list because, well, it is. Although he came out and was bombed by the twins, he was the right guy. Having said that, I think the biggest question of the night will be who to match deGrom with like ours SP2. I have to admit it's hard to do if you want to balance your education. Marco Gonzales ($ 7,600) is my first answer against the Royals. Jonathan Loaisiga ($ 6,900) is another option, but it is likely that the Yankees will limit the shooting count for a second consecutive start. With Gonzales, he runs into a Royals club that ended with a WOBA .301 against left-handed people with a .135 ISO and a 23.8 K%. He is not the most reliable guy, but if we want to adapt to deGrom, we have to make some sacrifices.

Heavy hit to pay

Christian Yelich, MIL vs. LAA, $ 5,300 – Taking Yelich will be quite difficult if you are closing in DeGrom, but for the rest of you, it is in a fantastic position against Matt Harvey ($ 6,000). The struggles that Harvey has against lefties make him an easy target in this matchup, as he finished last year with a .341 wOBA with a 4.53 xFIP with 17 of the 27 home runs he allowed. Yelich is already tearing the cover off the ball and his .411 wOBA and .218 ISO on the road against the right-wingers of last season is just the icing on the cake.

Save Big by Drafting …

Ender Stumble, ATL vs. WITH THE, $ 4,300 –Bumping feels cheap enough to play at Coors Field, beating the leadoff and facing a pitcher who has had his problems with left-handed people. Despite having beaten seventh in the last two games, Inciarte should find himself in his familiar lead position while facing Marquez. As I said before, Marquez at Coors Field had a .375 wOBA and a 3.68 xFIP in those matchups. Getting stumbled at this price seems a good value especially considering where this game is playing.

Stack Em Up

ARI vs. TEX (Mike Minor) – – I don't expect the Diamondbacks to be so popular tonight although the team has averaged 6.1 runs per game so far. Mike Minor ($ 6,300) takes the hill to the Rangers tonight and brings his poor street numbers from last season. Minors accounted for a WOBA .323 and a FIFF at 4.64 on the road, while they gave up 10 of his 25 home runs. With really solid power against left-handed people, D-Backs could be one of the most undervalued stacks of the night.

Favorite prop bet

San Diego Padres OVER 3.5 executions (+106)

I like this place for the Padres to hit the over on their total run tonight according to the DraftKings Sportsbook. They will face Derek Holland ($ 6,800) who has already faced this Padres team and conceded three runs on four successes in five innings. The Padres would continue to win the game with a score of 4-1. The biggest problem for the Netherlands is facing right-handed bats, of which the Padres are full (like almost all teams). With this total at 3.5, I like our chances for the Padres to end.

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