Las Vegas Raiders vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction, preview and odds

Two teams looking to cope with a long drought without a playoff win will clash in an AFC Wild Card match on Saturday afternoon when the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Las captured a Wild Card spot as No. 5 in AFC at 10-7 after surviving a savage 35-32 overtime match against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday night as a three-point home underdog. Cincinnati is the AFC North champion with a score of 10-7 to earn the No. 4 and with nothing to play for in the regular season finale he lost Sunday to the Cleveland Browns 21-16 as a 6.5-point road loser.

These teams met in week 11 with the Bengals taking a 32-13 road win to cover as 2.5 point favorites. Cincinnati has won four of their last five direct matches, even though the Raiders have been leading 21-12 all-time, including victories in their only two previous post-season matchups.

The Raiders survive the classic snapshot for their first playoff appearance since 2016

In a bizarre situation at Sunday Night Football against the Chargers where the winner would advance to the playoffs but a draw would see both teams pass, the Raiders won in overtime in one of the wildest games in recent memory. Las Vegas led for most of the first half thanks to touchdowns from Hunter Renfrow and Josh Jacobs and another Renfrow score in the fourth quarter helped build a 29-14 lead in the final five minutes before the Chargers got back to even. when time runs out. converting a ridiculous six quarters down the road. After teams swapped field goals in extra time, Las Vegas was alert to its next drive with a tie that secured a post-season spot, but moved the ball just enough to set the 47 field goal. yard by Daniel Carlson on the beep.

Derek Carr completed 20 of 36 passes for 186 yards and two touchdowns, while Jacobs had a huge game with 26 carries for 132 yards and a score that included a 10-yard carry in the last 30 seconds of overtime to move Las Vegas into range. of the field goal. Bryan Edwards made some great plays with four catches for 63 yards. The Raiders were beaten 440-346, but they won the 2-0 turnover battle and were fantastic on special teams with Carlson scoring 5/5 on field goal attempts.

“We just found a way to have a chance to win in the end,” interim manager Rich Bisaccia told The Associated Press. “We’ve been in this situation before… I can’t say enough about how this team prepares, comes into play and plays like that. They believe in each other when they go out. They don’t blink. “

Las Vegas ends the regular season 8-9 against the spread, but has covered in his last three games, including a huge upset of the Indianapolis Colts as an 8.5-point underdog to set last weekend’s winning scenario. Overs are also 8-9 for the Raiders after the last game overcame the betting totals, resulting in a streak of three straight unders.

The Raiders averaged 22 points per game for the season, but moved the ball well with 363.8 yards per game. The Las Vegas defense finished 26th with a score of 25.8 points out of the 337.2 yards per game allowed, although they performed much better along the elongated run to determine playoff push.

Carr finished fifth in the league for passing, going 428/626 for 4,804 yards, 23 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Jacobs led the ball 217 times for 217 yards and eight touchdowns, while Renfrow had another great year with 103 receptions for 1,038 yards and nine scores. Maxx Crosby led the NFL through the press, amassing eight sacks, 13 tackles per loss, 30 quarterback hits and seven batted passes in total.

Defensive tackle Jonathan Hankins (back / knee) was the only member of the Raiders’ active roster to miss training on Wednesday. Star tight end Darren Waller is back in training for the first time since Thanksgiving, but has still been limited in training by a knee injury, while Jacobs (ribs) and Casey Heyward Jr. (ankle) are also facing persistent problems. Defensive tackle Darius Philon (knee) hit the injured reserve Sunday after playing great early in the match, joining other key Raiders like corner Trayvon Mullen Jr. (forward), safety Jonathan Abram (shoulder), the running back n. 2 Kenyon Drake (ankle), fielder Alec Ingold (knee), guard Richie Incognito (calf) and guard Denzelle Good (knee).

The Bengals rested their starters in search of their first playoff win since 1990

After a dramatic win over Kansas City the previous weekend he took over AFC North, last Sunday the Bengals chose to rest several starters rather than hope to improve their seeding and suffered a defeat in Cleveland as a result. Cincinnati didn’t get on the scoreboard until the 3:28 second quarter mark on Trayvon Henderson’s fumble 29-yard return for a touchdown, and Chris Evans’ four-yard catch with 2:26 left made things interesting but the Bengals failed to recover in-side football.

Reserve quarterback Brandon Allen struggled, completing 15/29 pass attempts for 136 yards and a late touchdown. Trayveon Williams led the Bengals with nine carries for 38 yards, while Trent Taylor led two receptions for 41 yards. Cincinnati performed as expected with the second string as it passed 376-182, with only two turnovers from Cleveland keeping the game tight.

“There is a lot of confidence in this group,” head coach Zac Taylor told The Associated Press. “Sometimes they don’t know what they don’t know, and that can be a good thing. You certainly can’t avoid some of the narrative that surrounds us at times with the playoff experience. But these guys have no playoff experience. You know, they don’t feel that pressure, they don’t think about that stuff at all. “

The Bengals had a corresponding record of 10-7 against the spread in the regular season and have covered in each of their last four games, including big wins over the Broncos and the Chiefs as underdogs. The overs are 8-9 for the Bengals after their regular season finale fell short of betting totals, resulting in a streak of two straight overs.

Cincinnati enters the playoffs seventh in attack with an average of 27.1 points over 361.5 yards per game. The Bengals defense finished around the championship average with opponents accumulating 22.1 points and 350.8 yards per game.

Starting quarterback Joe Burrow had a fantastic second-year season, completing 366 of 520 passing attempts for 4,611 yards, 34 touchdowns and 14 interceptions adding two quick scores. Joe Mixon led the ball 292 times for 1,205 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase broke the all-time rookie reception record with 81 catches for 1,455 yards and 13 scores. Trey Hendrickson proved to be a great success in free agency, racking up 14 sacks, 12 tackles per loss and 27 quarterback hits to lead the Cincinnati defense.

The Bengals had several key players on the COVID roster this past weekend including Mixon, Hendrickson, and Von Bell, but all were able to return to training earlier this week. Defensive tackle Josh Tupou (knee) was the only active roster member to miss training on Wednesday. Wideout Tee Higgins (foot) is the biggest question mark as it was limited, with safety Ricardo Allen (concussion), corner Jalen Davis (ankle) and wideout Stanley Morgan (hamstring) also limited. Linebacker Akeem Davis-Gaither (foot), offensive tackle Riley Reiff (ankle), linebacker Jordan Evans (knee), guard Xavier Su’a-Filo (knee) and safety Brandon Wilson (knee) are among the Bengals. key in the injured reserve.

The best bets for this game

Full game side bet

Insider status:


Although the regular season bout between these two ended with a lopsided score in favor of the Bengals, it was a three-point game with 5:02 left, and the Raiders have fared much better on both sides since then. sides of the ball. Las Vegas continues to find a way to be competitive in games where it has a talent disadvantage on paper, and that will come to the limit between two good but ultimately flawed teams.

While the Raiders’ offense was a mess in their first bout with Cincinnati, it’s been a lot less one-dimensional since Jacobs finally kicked off the running game with 324 yards in the past three weeks, which totally changes the way Las Vegas can. attack opponents defenses. The Bengals have done a lot of good things on defense in the regular season, but they can be vulnerable as they conceded 5.5 yards per game to place 21st in the NFL.

The main defensive force in Las Vegas is the pressure on the quarterback as Crosby appears to be in the backfield every game, and the only hit on the Bengals’ attack would be a 9.02% layoff rate which is the second worst in the league. The Raiders have had a lot of experience operating in close matches this season and this spread is too much based on how they downplayed the trait.

Prediction: Raiders +5.5

Total choice of the whole game

Insider status:


It won’t be easy to generate stops against this Cincinnati bout, with Burrow quickly living up to the hype in sophomore, Mixon having a good season and Chase emerging as a superstar who can take him home in any play. Las Vegas was a decent defense from an efficiency standpoint, but it still gave up a lot of points, and with Philon being added to an already long injury reserve list on that side of the ball, this is going to be a challenge.

The Bengals don’t defend the pass well and the Las Vegas airstrike has improved lately with Waller back in formation plus the emergence of Zay Jones and possibly Edwards as downstream threats, a big change from an earlier this year period when Renfrow had to carry everything. This has the characteristics of a shootout between two offenders who should be able to exploit the weaknesses of the opposing defenses.

Prediction: over 48.5

Written by
Nathaniel Reeves, “Nathaniel Reeves”

Nathaniel Reeves is a sports enthusiast with a bachelor’s degree in journalism from the University of Washington and statistics from Western Washington University. He has always had a passion for applying statistical analysis to sports betting and has successfully handicapped college football, college basketball and esports for years. Nathaniel has continued to be a lifelong fan of the Seattle Mariners, along with the Seattle Seahawks, the UW Huskies and will soon be the Seattle Kraken. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the past few years and we are thrilled that Nate has chosen to bring his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. You would be very wise to follow it every day.

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