Experts “Corona endemic accelerates when most of the world’s population is vaccinated”
Our World in Data “Approximately 2.3 billion people around the world have completed the second round of corona vaccination”
Some experts “There is concern about the possibility of a new mutation that breaks through the existing vaccine immunity”
As for the end of the novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) pandemic (a global pandemic), many experts have predicted that it will become an endemic (endemic) like a cold or the flu.
However, for this to happen, he added that it would be possible only if 90-95% of the world’s population were vaccinated and had herd immunity against COVID-19.
According to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), an American daily newspaper on the 12th (local time), health experts predicted the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in this way.
Experts are now working to figure out whether a new, more lethal or more contagious COVID-19 mutation will form, predicting that the coronavirus will transform into a common virus such as the common cold or flu.
So far, out of the world’s 7.8 billion people, more than 225 million people have been infected with COVID-19, and 4.64 million people have died. According to some statistics, there are 1.1 billion people infected worldwide.
Still, experts predict that COVID-19 could one day turn from a pandemic to an endemic caused by a common virus like the common cold or flu. This is because coronaviruses often cause colds in humans, the WSJ explains.
However, experts are not able to say exactly when the transition to endemic will occur. He stressed that the day would come sooner if most of the people around the world were vaccinated against COVID-19.
Adolfo Garcia-Sastre, principal researcher at Icahn University’s Mount Sinai Medical School in New York, said: “When COVID-19 becomes considered a common flu depends on how quickly it is vaccinated. You have to have immunity,” he said.
“Corona 19 infection provides some immunity, but the risk of serious illness, death, and further spread of the virus is still high compared to vaccines,” he said.
“As more people get vaccinated and identify those more susceptible to the virus, the risk of infection among those who are not vaccinated increases,” said Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the University of Saskatchewan, Canada. Unvaccinated people will be exposed somehow.”
Delays in vaccine supplies also weigh on the opinion that the world is at risk of facing a new mutant virus.
“We need to provide an effective vaccine at an affordable price to everyone,” said Roberto Burioni, a virologist at the University of San Rafaele in Vitasalut in Milan.
In addition, some experts predict that new mutations may emerge that break the immunity provided by existing vaccines.
Salim Abdul Karim, a professor of epidemiology, co-chair of the South African Corona 19 Advisory Committee, said, “The next microwave mutation is likely to occur while the world’s 3 billion people have been vaccinated. This mutation is very likely to break through the immunity provided by the vaccine,” he said.
“There will be more mutations in the next two to three years, and authorities will fight to provide a powerful vaccine against them,” he said.
In fact, as the COVID-19 mutant (B.1.621), first discovered in Colombia in January, was recently designated as a major mutation (mu μ) by the World Health Organization (WHO), the major mutation came up to the 12th out of 24 Greek alphabets so far. .
In addition, concerns are being raised because the new mutation of COVID-19, ‘C.1.2.’, confirmed by South African researchers last month, transmits almost twice as fast as other metastases.
The WSJ also called for vaccination, stating that vaccination has been proven to be successful in limiting hospitalizations and deaths.
Earlier, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) announced on the 10th that those who were not vaccinated were 10 times more likely to be hospitalized and 11 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than those who were vaccinated.
Meanwhile, according to Our World in Data, about 2.3 billion of the world’s 7.8 billion people have completed the second round of vaccination.
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