AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Best Bets and Golf Odds
This week, the PGA Tour heads to Pebble Beach for the Western Swing’s second signature event, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. With a strong field of world-class players, the competition is intense. We’ll break down the key players, course details, and statistical insights to help you make informed bets and predictions.
The Field
Featuring an elite 80-player field, this tournament boasts a mix of top-tier players and familiar faces returning from injury. Standout players include Scottie Scheffler, making his season debut after hand surgery, and Wyndham Clark, the 2024 champion attempting to defend his title.
Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood make their 2025 debuts on the PGA Tour, joining other notable returnees like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, and Patrick Cantlay. Each brings unique strengths and historical context to the table.
The Courses
Pebble Beach Golf Links, with its iconic ocean views, is a focal point of the event. Designed by Jack Neville and Douglas Grant, this par-72 course is renowned for its short length, heavy bunkering, and fast, small greens. These features highlight the importance of approach play.
Additionally, the tournament includes Spyglass Hill Golf Course, a par-72, tree-lined links-style track. This course, while slightly longer, shares similar front-end challenges with Pebble Beach. Both courses are ideal for players with strong approach shots.
Recent History/Winners
The tournament has a rich history, with Wyndham Clark emerging victorious in 2024. Other notable winners include Justin Rose, Tom Hoge, Phil Mickelson, and Jordan Spieth. Historical trends show that past champions often have high odds, indicating a potential for upsets.
Winning Trends
- Most winners have at least one PGA Tour victory.
- All recent winners have played in the tournament previously.
- Top performances in previous events correlate with higher chances of success.
- Approach shots are critical, with an emphasis on greenside play.
Statistical Analysis
Strokes Gained statistics highlight the importance of approach play. Players like Jhonattan Vegas, Hideki Matsuyama, and Collin Morikawa lead in Strokes Gained: Approach, emphasizing their significant edge in this aspect.
Strokes Gained: Approach — Average Per Round (2025 PGA Tour Season)
- Jhonattan Vegas 1.622
- Hideki Matsuyama 1.531
- Collin Morikawa 1.466
- Tom Hoge 1.174
- Tom Kim 1.138
Average Proximity Gained Toward the Hole — Average Per Round (Last 50 Rounds)
- Tom Hoge 7.23
- Eric Cole 6.71
- Justin Thomas 6.60
- Cameron Young 5.61
- Nick Taylor 5.06
Selections
Based on the analysis, several players stand out as potential best bets:
Collin Morikawa (14-1, Bet Rivers)
Morikawa showed strong form at The Sentry, leading in Greens in Regulation. His consistency and iron play make him a solid choice.
Patrick Cantlay (21-1, Circa Sports)
Cantlay’s top-5 finishes and recent form make him a reliable pick. His familiarity with Sage Valley should translate well to Pebble Beach.
Jason Day (40-1, Circa Sports)
Day’s history at Pebble Beach includes multiple top-5 finishes. His recent solid play on approach shots could translate well in this setting.
Taylor Pendrith (55-1, Caesars Sportsbook)
Pendrith’s recent performances, including T-7 at Torrey Pines, highlight his proficiency at short courses. His greens in regulation statistics suggest he can handle Pebble Beach.
Maverick McNealy (64-1, Circa Sports)
McNealy’s personal connection to Pebble Beach, combined with his recent win at the RSM Classic, makes him a compelling choice.
Beau Hossler (85-1, Circa Sports)
Hossler’s recent strong performances and familiarity with Poa greens support his potential success at Pebble Beach.
Placement markets and matchups will be up Wednesday at VSiN.com/picks
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