Wednesday, June 3, 2020

Bernie Sanders, no surprise surrender

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Bernie Sanders is not hanging on. Unlike the 2016 primaries, when Vermont’s “Socialist Democrat” senator had crossed swords with Hillary Clinton almost to the end, he announced on Wednesday April 8 that his campaign for the nomination would be suspended. Joe Biden, former vice-president of Barack Obama, thus becomes the presumed candidate of the democratic party against Donald Trump. His candidacy will be formalized at the party’s national convention, postponed from July to August because of Covid-19.

Bernie Sanders’ decision comes as no surprise. Mathematically, the 78-year-old was very unlikely to win the 1,991 delegates required to win the nomination. These are the delegates who are responsible for investing the party candidate according to the results obtained in each state.

Biden’s privileged experience

Defeated in several key polls like Florida, South Carolina, Michigan and Texas, Bernie Sanders quickly lost the momentum he had created in Iowa and New Hampshire, the two states that started the ball rolling. primary in February. Over the course of the polls, it also became clear that he would not be able to seduce the African-American electorate, the pillar of the democratic base acquired from Joe Biden.

The new coronavirus crisis presented an additional challenge for the senator. Against a backdrop of uncertainty, Democratic voters favored Joe Biden’s experience over Bernie Sanders’ ambitious (some would say unrealistic) reforms, in particular his promise to introduce universal medical coverage.

Biden pressure and turn

Joe Biden had multiplied, in recent days, the friendly pressures on his opponent by indicating to him that he had begun the process of selection of his potential vice-president and by taking part in a telephone call with Donald Trump about the Covid-19 .

It has also started to make a shift by incorporating measures into its program, such as free university fees for children from households earning less than $ 125,000 a year, defended by the left wing of the party. Barack Obama, still very popular with Democrats, also spoke to Bernie Sanders recently. The abandonment of the latter makes it possible to put a spotlight on the democratic campaign, largely overshadowed by the crisis of the new coronavirus.

Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, both confined, had held for several weeks, online meetings to mobilize their troops. But in times of crisis, attention naturally turns to the “Commander-in-Chief”, in this case Donald Trump, who occupies the media with his daily press conferences seen by millions of people. ” Donald Trump’s worst opponent is the coronavirussummarized Republican Senator Lindsey Graham in the magazine The Atlantic. If he manages the crisis in the right way in the eyes of the public, he will be unbeatable. “

For the time being, that is not the case: according to a recent ABC / Ipsos poll, 52% of Americans say they are against the president’s actions today.

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